New Iowa Poll

There is a new Iowa poll out today from the American Research Group.

Here are the results...

Clinton 31%
Edwards 21%
Obama 11%
Richardson 9%
Kucinich 5%
Biden 3%
Dodd 2%
Clark 1%
Gravel 1%
Undecided 16%

A closer look at the trends in this poll from past months, shows Hillary Clinton made an 8 point jump, while Obama made an 8 point drop. I highly doubt that Obama is doing that poorly. Richardson went up from 5% to 8% in from April to May, after being at 1% in all previous polls. Biden support fell from 6% in April to 3% this month.

The results from this poll greatly differ from the Des Moines Register poll released a week ago. In that poll Edwards was on top with 29% with Obama at 23%, Clinton at 21%, Richardson at 10%, and Biden at 3%. I find the totals in this poll for Obama and Clinton to be more an accurate picture of what I am hearing on the ground here in Iowa.

I read somewhere that McCain did well on the Republican side because he polled well with independents. That might be why this poll isn't matching up with what I am hearing on the streets. However, independents can't go to the caucuses (unless they register with a party), so why include them in the polls?