Tuesday, November 04, 2008

It's all about Virginia and Pennsylvania

The media will try and stress the importance of Ohio and Florida, but those aren't the states that will decide the election.  

Look at Virginia and Pennsylvania to see who will win the election. 

From Cenk Uyger...

It is impossible for John McCain to win this election if he loses Pennsylvania and Virginia on Tuesday night. Even if he won every swing state on the map after that -- including Ohio, Florida, North Carolina, Indiana, Missouri, Colorado, New Mexico and Nevada -- he would still lose (you can play around with the electoral map and check yourself (here).

This assumes that Obama will carry every other blue state, plus Iowa. He has double digit leads in all of those states, so that is a fair assumption unless there is colossal voter fraud.

Polls close in Virginia at 7:00 pm eastern and in Pennsylvania at 8:00 pm eastern.

Political Wire has a list of when polls close and what to watch for each state.

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

Peensylvania?

You're talking about the state that hasnt voted Republican in 20 years?

The state that McCain has never led in?

The state that Obama has never led by less than 5?

The state that had THE LARGEST MARGIN of new democrats over new Republicans?

I should probably be more kind to our vanquished foes and pretend that McCain really has a chance but I dont see any reason to