Common Iowan Election Predictions

I meant to post some in depth predictions like Deeth did, but didn't have time this morning.  

So here is a quick look at my predictions...

National

President

Obama 329- McCain 209

The closest state is Missouri, followed by Indiana, Montana, and North Carolina.

Obama wins Pennsylvania, Virginia, Florida, Missouri, Nevada

McCain wins Ohio, North Carolina, Indiana, Montana

US Senate

Democrats win in Virginia, New Mexico, Colorado, New Hampshire, Alaska, Oregon, and Minnesota.  Neither candidate in Georgia will get 50% to win and there will be a run off.

US House

Democrats will pick up 24 seats.

Iowa 

President

Obama 57% - McCain 43%

McCain has stayed between 40-45% (just like Nussle did in 2006) all year long, so I don't see him gettin any closer than that.

Senate

Harkin 60% - Reed 40%

Congress

1st District Braley 62% - Hartsuch 38%

2nd District Loebsack 53% - Miller Meeks 43%

3rd District Boswell 56% - Schmett 44%

4th District Latham 53% - Greenwald 47%

5th District King 58% - Hubler 42%

Iowa Senate

Democrats pick up 3 seats to have a 33-17 advantage.

Iowa House

Democrats pick up 6 seats to have a 59-41 advantage.