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The Big Ten Battleground State poll released last week that showed Obama and McCain tied at 44.8% in Iowa seems to be an outlier after 2 recent polls show Obama with a double digit lead and above 50% in each poll.
On Friday, Survey USA released a poll showing Obama beating McCain 54% to 43%.
Among women, Obama leads by 20 points; among men, Obama and McCain tie. Among voters younger than Barack Obama, Obama leads by 15. Among voters older than John McCain, Obama leads by 9. Among voters who are in-between the two candidates' ages, Obama leads by 7.
Among white voters -- 95% of Iowa's likely voters -- Obama leads by 8 points. 11% of Republicans cross over to vote for Obama; 8% of Democrats cross over to vote for McCain; Independents break for Obama by 9 points.
John McCain leads among Republicans, conservatives, those who attend church regularly, pro-life voters, those focused on terrorism, among the 16% of likely voters who say they may yet change their mind, and in Southwest Iowa. Obama is slightly ahead in Northwest Iowa and leads by double digits in the northeast and southeast portions of the state.
Today, the Quad City Times released results from a Research 2000 poll that shows Obama ahead 53% to 39% over McCain. The poll found that the selection of Sarah Palin as McCain's VP had little effect in the poll.
McCain’s selection of Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin as his running mate, which swung the spotlight back to the GOP candidate, didn’t make a large share of voters more likely to support McCain, the Research 2000 survey showed.These polls and the Des Moines Register poll released on September 14th, where Obama was winning 52% to 40%, show that Obama is in control in Iowa. McCain's negative campaign isn't working in Iowa because Iowans know who Obama really is after having the chance to meet him leading up to the caucuses.
Of those polled, 61 percent said the Palin pick had no effect on their decision, and 22 percent said it made them more likely to vote for McCain.
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