Wednesday, June 20, 2007

New Iowa Poll

There is a new Mason-Dixon poll in Iowa that shows Hillary Clinton slightly leading John Edwards 22% to 21%. Obama comes in at 18%, followed by Richardson (6%) and Biden (4%). The most surprising thing with this poll is 27% of the people said they were undecided. In past polls, there has been less undecideds. Bleeding Heartland has more coverage of the Democratic side.

The big news on the Republican side isn't that Mitt Romney leads or that Fred Thompson is in 2nd without even campaigning here yet. The big news is that the assumed national front runner, John McCain is tied for 5th place with Sam Brownback with just 6%. Things aren't going well for the McCain campaign. His fundraising was disapointing in the first quarter, he skips out on his duties in the Senate, he is behind with his fundraising numbers in the second quarter, and now he is tumbling in the polls. I am predicting McCain will drop out of the race by the time the Iowa caucuses roll around.

3 comments:

Danielle in Iowa in Ireland said...

I think McCain dropping out of the Ames straw poll might have an effect on his numbers here as well - it is a nose-thumbing of sorts at Iowa IMHO, so I am not surprised his numbers are low...

noneed4thneed said...

That and his support for the immigration bill. He has been attacked by other Republican candidates and there are many that think McCain is on the wrong side of the issue.

desmoinesdem said...

I've been calling dozens of voters in my precinct who showed up at the 2004, and I chat with those I run into while walking the dog as well. There is no doubt in my mind that a plurality of Iowa Democrats are undecided.