Monday, April 20, 2009

Nate Silver to Speak at ISU Tonight at 8 pm

Nate Silver will be speaking at Iowa State tonight at 8 pm in the Sun Room. I have some plans tonight, but am going to try and get out of them, so I can attend this.

From Bleeding Heartland...

Nate Silver, the statistician who was once known as "poblano" and blogs at, will give a public lecture at Iowa State University at 8 p.m. The topic is "How Obama Really Won the Election."
Here's more information from Iowa State...
Nate Silver was already celebrated among baseball fans for developing PECOTA, now recognized as the most accurate system for forecasting how athletes and teams will perform in the future. The University of Chicago economics graduate, sold his system to Baseball Prospectus, staying on as a writer and consultant. In 2007, turning to politics, he fed a database with every poll available, along with state demographics and election results from 1952 forward, adjusting for a variety of factors. The model he built simulated elections and outperformed every established pollster in the primary season, and so he launched the political web site FiveThirty By the end of election night, he had predicted the popular vote within one percentage point, predicted 49 of 50 states’ results correctly, and predicted all of the resolved Senate races correctly. In addition to running the political-prediction Web site and being an analyst and writer for Baseball Prospectus, he writes an Esquire column called "The Data."

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