Saturday, May 31, 2008

If Michigan and Florida Delegates are Seated, Expect Chaos in 2012

As the DNC Rules Committee is meeting today to decide on how to deal with Michigan and Florida, I thought I would remind people about a post I wrote last week.

If the DNC seats all of the Michigan and Florida delegates, expect there to be absolute chaos leading up to the next contested Presidential primary.

From Marc Ambinder...

Lots of folks on both sides of the Obama/Clinton debate predict total chaos in 2012 (if the Democrats lose the election) or 2016. Luckily, 2016 is a ways away, and Democrats are confident about their chances.

But think about it. States will have NO incentive to follow the rules, knowing that at least half their delegations will be seated. The candidates will treat the states like any other state; Remember that Florida, which had half its delegation penalized by the RNC, turned into the victory that essentially sealed the nomination for John McCain.

Nominee-presumptives Obama and Clinton have no incentive to change the calendar -- he needs Iowa and she needs New Hampshire for the general election.

1 comment:

The Real Sporer said...

This commentary is not partisan.

If Michigan and Florida are seated we will have taken the biggest step toward destroying the political system that remained stable throughout WW2, the Great Depression, the Cold War, the Industrial Revolution and the Civil War-the two party system of coalition parties.

The RNC should have banned Florida and Michigan as well.