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The Clinton campaign is trying to spin tonight's results to say that she still has a shot if she wins both Texas and Ohio.
However, Hillary Clinton doesn't just have to win tonight, she must win by 15 - 20% to have a shot at making up Obama's lead in pledged delegates. Anything less than that and Hillary's only hope is a brokered convention.
Based on the delegate math and a reasonable forecast of the remaining primary races, it's highly unlikely Sen. Hillary Clinton can win the Democratic presidential nomination. But it's still possible -- if she can send the decision into what used to be called the "smoke-filled room."
3 comments:
I think Clinton is pretty much out of the delegate race. Her only hope is to win the popular vote in OH and TX today so that the campaign will continue for at least another seven weeks.
If some big scandal becomes a drag on Obama this spring, then the superdelegates may desert him. But the far more likely scenario is that the superdelegates will continue to flow toward Obama.
I don't think it's a bad thing for our primary contest to continue until Pennsylvania, but I also think Clinton should drop out if she doesn't win OH and TX today.
Onward to Pennsylvania.
And then to a brokered convention.
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