Wednesday, January 09, 2008

New Hampshire and the Condensed Calendar

Marc Ambinder made a good point earlier today...

Before Obamaiania in Iowa, Sen. Clinton stood at 39% in the New Hampshire polls.

Last night, she finished at 39%.

Usually there are 8 days between Iowa and New Hampshire. However, because of the condensed calendar, there were only 4 days between the two contests, and they came over the weekend (which probably affected the accuracy of the polling).

This made it hard for Obama to take advantage of the bump. The media didn't go on and on about Obama's victory (instead they seemed to go on and on about Clinton's demise, which probably helped Clinton) . Obama had been campaigning in Iowa for most of December, so he didn't have time to focus his message on New Hampshire.

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