Thursday, August 02, 2007

Edwards is the Most Electable Candidate

The John Edwards campaign has released polling numbers that show Edwards is the strongest Democratic candidate in the general election. This table was the most striking to me. It shows Edwards can win in states that don't typically vote for Democrats like Kansas, Missouri, Kentucky, and Virginia. I feel that if you team Edwards up with Bill Richardson states like New Mexico, Arizona, Colorado, Nevada, and Montana would be up for grabs.

State-by-state electability:

  • Even more important than national polls, Edwards outperforms other Democratic candidates in key battleground states, including Iowa, Wisconsin, and Ohio.
  • Unlike other Democrats, who will be forced to “run the table” of states where Democrats have been competitive in recent elections, Edwards brings new states into play. This provides alternative scenarios – and a margin for error – when it comes to winning 270 electoral votes.

Battleground State General Election Match-Ups


John Edwards

Hillary Clinton

Barack Obama

Oregon*




Fred Thompson.....

Edwards +15

Clinton +4

Obama +14





Iowa*




Rudy Giuliani........

Edwards +14

Clinton +6

Obama +5

Fred Thompson.....

Edwards +23

Clinton +2

Obama +10





Kansas*




Fred Thompson.....

Edwards +13

Clinton -12

Obama +4





Wisconsin*




Rudy Giuliani........

Edwards +10

Clinton +1

Obama -2

Fred Thompson.....

Edwards +13

Clinton +3

Obama +3





Ohio*




Rudy Giuliani........

Edwards +8

Clinton +3

Obama -11

Fred Thompson.....

Edwards +24

Clinton +15

Tied





Minnesota*




Rudy Giuliani........

Edwards +8

Clinton +9

Obama -6

Fred Thompson.....

Edwards +24

Clinton +16

Obama +8





Missouri*




Rudy Giuliani........

Edwards +5

Clinton -1

Obama -8

Fred Thompson.....

Edwards +21

Clinton +8

Obama +6





Kentucky*




Rudy Giuliani........

Edwards +3

Clinton -3

Obama -16

Fred Thompson.....

Edwards +22

Clinton +13

Obama -6





Virginia*




Rudy Giuliani........

Tied

Clinton -4

Obama -15

Fred Thompson.....

Edwards +10

Clinton -4

Obama -6





Alabama*




Fred Thompson.....

Edwards - 2

Clinton -5

Obama -16





New Mexico*




Rudy Giuliani........

Edwards - 3

Clinton +6

Obama -10

Fred Thompson.....

Edwards +18

Clinton +10

Obama +7





Arizona, Grand Canyon State poll



Rudy Giuliani........

Edwards - 8

Clinton -19

Obama -10

John McCain........

Edwards -17

Clinton -21

Obama -15

Mitt Romney.........

Edwards +6

Clinton -6

Obama +3

SOURCE: Survey USA polling. Best Democrat in each category shown in BOLD.

1 comment:

Ben said...

It's early yet, but an Edwards/Richardson ticket is sounding really good to me.